[1]冯晓刚,撒利伟,李凤霞,等.基于CA-Markov模型的西安市热环境模拟研究[J].西安建筑科技大学学报(自然科学版),2016,48(05):731-737.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2016.05.019]
　FENG Xiaogang,S A Liwei,LI Fengxia,et al.The simulation on Xians u rban heat environment based on CA-Markov model[J].J. Xi’an Univ. of Arch. & Tech.(Natural Science Edition),2016,48(05):731-737.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2016.05.019]
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基于CA-Markov模型的西安市热环境模拟研究()
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西安建筑科技大学学报（自然科学版）[ISSN:1006-7930/CN:61-1295/TU]

卷:
48
期数:
2016年05期
页码:
731-737
栏目:
出版日期:
2016-10-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
The simulation on Xians u rban heat environment based on CA-Markov model
文章编号:
1006-7930(2016)05-0731-07
作者:
冯晓刚; 撒利伟; 李凤霞; 李 萌;  周在辉; 袁龙飞
(西安建筑科技大学建筑学院,陕西 西安710055)
Author(s):
FENG Xiaogang;  S A Liwei ;  LI Fengxia;  LI Meng;  ZHOU Zaihui; YUAN Longfei
(School of Architecture, Xi an Univ. of Arch . & Tech .Xian 710055, China)
关键词:
元胞自动机; 马尔可夫模型; 热环境; 模拟; 西安市
Keywords:
CA model;  Markov model;  thermal environment;  simulation;  Xi’an city
分类号:
TU18
DOI:
10.15986/j.1006-7930.2016.05.019
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
将元胞自动机理论和马尔可夫模型相结合，构造了可用于城市热环境模拟与预测分析的CA-Markov模型．以西安市为例，基于单窗算法反演了西安市2000年和2006年两个不同时相城市热环境数据，并利用构建的CA-Markov耦合模型，模拟分析了西安市2018年城市热环境格局分布特征．结果表明：(1) CA-Markov模型具有较高的模拟精度，可用于城市热环境的模拟研究；(2) 2018年西安市不同热岛类型面积由高到低依次为：常温区>绿岛区>热岛区>强热岛区>强绿岛区，所占面积比例分别为：70.20 %、13.06 %、12.01 %、3.67 %、1.06 %；2006～2018年12a间强热岛区、热岛区、常温区、绿岛区和强绿岛区的面积变化分别为：0.31 %、–0.60 %、1.2 %、–0.84 %、–0.08 %；(3) 2018年西安市热环境状况整体趋于良好，常温区占绝对优势，但局部地区热环境表现为小幅加剧的趋势．因此，建议西安城市规划建设中热环境规划作为一项重要内容予以考虑．
Abstract:
A CA-Markov model was developed for urban heat environmental simulation. As a case study of Xi’an?s, land surface temperature (LST) were retried by Single-Window algorithm in 2000 and 2006. Based on the Urban Heat environment pattern of Xi’an and by using the CA-Markov model, this paper simulated Xi’an?s heat environment pattern in 2018. The results showed that:①the CA-Markov model has a better simulation accuracy, which be used for the simul ation of the thermal environment trend.②The area size of different UHI types in 2018 from high to low were normal temperature zone>green zone>heat island zone>strong heat island zone> strong green zone, with the respective ratio of different UHI types area being 70.2 %、13.06 %、12.01 %、3.67 %、1.06 %；the changes radio of the different UHI types from 2006 to 2018 being 0.31 %、?0.60 %、1.2 %、?0.84 %、?0.08 %.③The future thermal environment of Xi?an tends to be better and the normal temperature area is dominated, but it may have further deterioration trend locally . Therefore, the proposal in urban planning and construction of the thermal environment planning for the resident should be considered as an important component

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2014-12-11 修改稿日期：2016-08-25
项目基金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51608419)；陕西省自然科学基金资助项目(2013JQ5011)；陕西省教育厅专项基金资助项目(16JK1437)
作者简介：冯晓刚(1979)，男，博士，讲师，主要从事环境遥感与全息化古遗址保护的研究．E-mail: fendao_ren@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2016-11-24