[1]胡长明,贡少瑞,张超晖,等.基于突变理论的山岭隧道塌方风险预测[J].西安建筑科技大学学报:自然科学版,2014,46(01):10-15.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2014.01.003]
 HU ChangmingGONG ShaoruiZHANG Chaohui ZHANG LikuiZHANG Xuejing.Caving risk forecast of mountain tunnel construction based on catastrophe theory[J].J.Xi’an Univ. of Arch. & Tech.:Natural Science Edition,2014,46(01):10-15.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2014.01.003]
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基于突变理论的山岭隧道塌方风险预测()
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西安建筑科技大学学报:自然科学版[ISSN:1006-7930/CN:61-1295/TU]

卷:
46
期数:
2014年01期
页码:
10-15
栏目:
出版日期:
2014-02-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Caving risk forecast of mountain tunnel construction based on catastrophe theory
文章编号:
1006-7930(2014)01-0010-06
作者:
胡长明1 贡少瑞2张超晖3张礼奎3张雪晶3
(1.西安建筑科技大学土木工程学院,陕西 西安 710055; 2.金地集团西北区域公司,陕西 西安 710075;3.陕西煤业化工建设 集团 有限公司,陕西 西安 710021)
Author(s):
HU Changming1GONG Shaorui2ZHANG Chaohui3 ZHANG Likui3ZHANG Xuejing3
(1. School of Civil Engineering Xian Univ. of Arch. & Tech., Xian 710055 , China;2. Northwest Companies of Gemdale Group, Xian 710075 , China3.Shaanxi Coal Chemical Industry Construction ( Group) CoLtdXian 710021China)
关键词:
安全管理工程隧道塌方突变理论风险预测
Keywords:
tunnel caving catastrophe theory risk prediction risk evaluation engineering geology
分类号:
TU745
DOI:
10.15986/j.1006-7930.2014.01.003
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为建立隧道施工穿越冲沟段塌方风险的预测模型,统计分析了200 例隧道塌方事故,总结出影响隧道塌方的11 大风险因素,将各因素归纳为工程地质、水文地质、勘察设计施工等三大指标,并对其进行分解,建立山岭隧道的塌方风险评价体系,利用突变理论对隧道塌方风险进行风险评估.应用该模型对某隧道施工穿越冲沟地段进行塌方风险预测,结果能较好反映该工程实际情况,研究成果能够为类似隧道工程塌方风险管理提供依据.
Abstract:
To analyze the research in tunnel engineering at home and abroad, and summarize the research status and development prospects, 200 cases of the tunnel caving are analyzed according to the statistical data, which can be divided into four major categories, consisting of 11 kinds of factors in engineering geology, hydrogeology, and the construction about survey and design. In decomposing each of these, mountain tunnel collapse risk assessment system was established, and tunnel collapse risk was evaluated by using the Catastrophe Theory. This means that the model can be used to predict the caving risk for the tunnel project and the results can reflect the actual situation, and the research results can provide the foundation for the engineering caving risk management of the similar tunnels and offer the significant guiding for the safety management of the construction as well.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
基金项目:住房和城乡建设部2012 年科学技术项目计划——软科学研究项目( 建设项目管理) ( 2012-R3-17);包头市科技计划项目(2011x1006; 2012x1002)
收稿日期:2013-05-29 修改稿日期:2014-02-18
作者简介:胡长明(1963-),男,教授,博士生导师,主要从事土木工程建造与管理方向的研究.hu.tm@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-10-05