[1]罗福周,陈 良.资源型城市房地产业与主导产业发展关系的动态计量研究——以榆林市为例[J].西安建筑科技大学学报：自然版,2016,48(03):443-447.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2016.03.023]
　LUO Fuzhou,CHEN Liang.Dynamic econometric analysis on the relation between the real estate industry and leading industry in resource-based cities[J].J.Xi’an Univ. of Arch. & Tech.：Natural Science Edition,2016,48(03):443-447.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2016.03.023]
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资源型城市房地产业与主导产业发展关系的动态计量研究——以榆林市为例()
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西安建筑科技大学学报：自然版[ISSN:1006-7930/CN:61-1295/TU]

卷:
48
期数:
2016年03期
页码:
443-447
栏目:
出版日期:
2016-06-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Dynamic econometric analysis on the relation between the real estate industry and leading industry in resource-based cities
文章编号:
1006-7930(2016)03-0443-05
作者:
罗福周; 陈 良
( 西安建筑科技大学管理学院,陕西 西安 710055 )
Author(s):
LUO Fuzhou;  CHEN Liang
( School of Management, Xi’an Univ. of Arch. & Tech. , Xi’an 710055, China )
关键词:
资源型城市; 主导产业; 动态计量
Keywords:
resource-based city;  leading industry;  dynamic econometric analysis
分类号:
F293.3
DOI:
10.15986/j.1006-7930.2016.03.023
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
资源型城市的房地产业与主导产业一样都是区域经济发展的重要支柱，以榆林市房地产业和煤炭产业为例进行实证分析．首先构建房地产发展水平的评价指标体系，采用主成分分析法和熵值法客观的测度房地产发展水平，同时选取煤炭价格指标代表煤炭产业景气水平．运用动态计量经济学中的单位根平稳性检验、协整性分析、误差修正模型以及Granger因果检验方法，探索房地产业与煤炭产业之间的发展关系，得出房地产业发展水平和煤炭产业景气水平之间存在着长期均衡关系，而且煤炭产业是房地产业发展水平的Granger原因，房地产业也是煤炭产业景气水平的Granger原因．
Abstract:
Leading industry and real estate industry are the important industries of the regional economic develo pment in the resource-based cities. The paper takes real estate industry and coal industry in Yulin as an example for the empirical analysis. This is done, first by building the evaluation index system of real estate development level, using the principal component analysis (PCA) and entropy method to measure real estate development level objectively. At the same time, coal price index is selected to represent coal industry development level. Then, the dynamic econometrics unit root stability test, co -integration analysis, error correction model and Granger causality test method are used to explore the relationship between the real estate industry and the coal industry. Therefore, deducing a conclusion that between coal industry development level and real estate industry development level there exist a long-term equilibrium relationship, as the coal industry is the Granger cause of the real estate industry development level, and real estate industry is in turn the Granger reason of the coal industry development level.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
基金项目：住房城乡建设部2015年科学项目计划（2015-R4-005）
收稿日期：2015-06-29 修改稿日期：2016-06-10
作者简介：罗福周（1963－），男，教授，研究方向为建筑经济与房地产管理．E-mail:luofz@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2016-08-05