[1]高 华,刘程程,王 博,等.基于Shapley 值修正的BT 项目共担风险分配研究[J].西安建筑科技大学学报:自然科学版,2015,47(02):303-308.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2015.02.028]
 GAO Hua,LIU Chengcheng,WANG Bo,et al.Research on the joint risk allocation in BT projectsbased on the revised Shapley value[J].J.Xi’an Univ. of Arch. & Tech.:Natural Science Edition,2015,47(02):303-308.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2015.02.028]
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基于Shapley 值修正的BT 项目共担风险分配研究()
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西安建筑科技大学学报:自然科学版[ISSN:1006-7930/CN:61-1295/TU]

卷:
47
期数:
2015年02期
页码:
303-308
栏目:
出版日期:
2015-04-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on the joint risk allocation in BT projects
based on the revised Shapley value
文章编号:
1006-7930(2015)02-0303-06
作者:
高 华1刘程程1王 博2高喜珍1
(1.天津理工大学管理学院,天津 300384 ;2.天津泰达海洋开发有限公司,天津 300457)
Author(s):
GAO Hua1 LIU Chengcheng1 WANG Bo2 GAO Xizhen1
(1. School of Management, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384,China;
2. Tianjin TEDA Ocean Development Co. Ltd., Tianjin 300457, China)
关键词:
BT projects Influence factors of risk allocation Joint risks Risk Allocation Model Shapley value
Keywords:
BT projects Influence factors of risk allocation Joint risks Risk Allocation Model Shapley value
分类号:
F407.9
DOI:
10.15986/j.1006-7930.2015.02.028
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
将影响BT 项目风险分担的因素与Shapley 值结合,应用修正的Shapley 值法构建了BT 项目共担风险分配模型,并运
用此模型进行了某围海造陆BT 项目的通货膨胀风险、不可抗力风险和利率风险的分配研究.结论表明,根据控制风险的收
益,运用本模型可以确定通货膨胀风险及不可抗力风险合理的分配比例,而利率风险的分配不适合使用该模型.
Abstract:
This paper combines the Shapley value with the influence factors of risk allocation, and builds a model for joint risk
allocation in BT projects using the revised Shapley value. The model is also used to analyze the risk allocation of a land reclamation
BT project. The result shows that according to the benefits generated by controlling the risks, the reasonable allocation ratio of
inflation risk and force majeure risk can be calculated by this model, but it is inappropriate to analyze the allocation of interest rate
risk through this model.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2014-05-28 修改稿日期:2015-04-12
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(71471131,71272017);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(12YJA630032)
作者简介:高华(1969-),女,博士,教授,主要从事项目投融资及风险管理.E-mail:lotusgh@126.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-09-25