[1]史泽运,李勇.基于系统动力学的国际工程项目承包商单因素风险处置模式逻辑构建研究[J].西安建筑科技大学学报(自然科学版),2018,50(04):609-616.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2018.04.022]
 SHI Zeyun,LI Yong.Research on the logical construction of single factor risk disposal model for international engineering project contractors based on system dynamics[J].J. Xi’an Univ. of Arch. & Tech.(Natural Science Edition),2018,50(04):609-616.[doi:10.15986/j.1006-7930.2018.04.022]
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基于系统动力学的国际工程项目承包商单因素风险处置模式逻辑构建研究()
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西安建筑科技大学学报(自然科学版)[ISSN:1006-7930/CN:61-1295/TU]

卷:
50
期数:
2018年04期
页码:
609-616
栏目:
出版日期:
2018-08-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on the logical construction of single factor risk disposal model for international engineering project contractors based on system dynamics
文章编号:
1006-7930(2018)04-0609-08
作者:
史泽运李勇
(西安建筑科技大学 管理学院,陕西 西安 710055 )
Author(s):
SHI Zeyun LI Yong
(School of Management, Xi’an Univ. of Arch. & Tech., Xi’an 71005, China)
关键词:
系统动力学工程项目风险处置
Keywords:
System dynamics engineering project risk management
分类号:
TU722
DOI:
10.15986/j.1006-7930.2018.04.022
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
工程建设项目的系统性、复杂性等特点造成项目在实施过程中面临各个方面的风险.风险具有不确定性,如何对风险进行预判和处置,这是工程承包商面临的难题.本文应用系统动力学思维逻辑对单因素风险处置模式相关变量进行了定义,分析得出处置模式由作业模块、风险事件模块、处置策略模块组成,进而推导出承包商单一风险处置模式.本文站在承包商角度对单因素风险处置过程进行了较深入的分析,形成了较为系统的处置模式,为后续应用系统动力学理论进行项目风险处置多因素研究打下了一定的理论基础
Abstract:
The systematics and complexity of construction projects cause in all aspects of risk in the implementation process of the project. Risk being uncertain, so how to predict the risk and handle it is a challenge confronted with the engineering contractors. In this paper, application of system dynamics thinking logic to single risk management decision model relevant variables are defined. Analysis decision model by module, operation module, risk events strategy module, and contractor ’s single risk management decision model are deduced. The single factor risk disposal process is deeply analyzed from the contractor’s point of view, and a more systematic disposal mode is formed. This lays a theoretical foundation for the subsequent application of the system dynamics theory for the multi-factor research of project risk disposal

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2015-12-31修改稿日期:2018-07-09
基金项目:黑龙江省教育厅科学技术研究项目(12531574);国家自然科学基金项目(U1261212)
第一作者:史泽运(1982-),男,博士生,主要研究房地产开发与经营.E-mail: szy.737@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-09-11